Saturday, January 19, 2013

2013 Bill James Projections - Ryan Kalish


2012: 36 games, .229 BA, .272 OBP, .260 SLG, 0 HR, 5 RBI
2013 projection: 129 games, .252 BA, .320 OBP, 384 SLG, 10 HR, 48 RBI

Ryan Kalish has been almost ready for the bigs for what seems like half my life. He came up for fifty-three games back in 2010, then injuries kept him off the field for most of 2011. He had 103 plate appearances last season, and didn't quite live up to the predictions for his potential.

On the Red Sox official depth chart, Kalish is second to Shane Victorino in right field, and third to Jonny Gomes and Daniel Nava in left. Jacoby Ellsbury is all alone on the chart in center, but Kalish has played that position in the past, and is perfectly capable of giving him a day off, or taking over if (heaven forbid) Ells goes down with a injury.

I have a soft spot for every prospect that comes up through the system, and we've been waiting for Kalish for years now. He certainly has the potential and the tools to not only meet Bill James' projections, but to exceed them: we just have to wait and see what kind of playing time he'll get.

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