Monday, January 27, 2014

2014 Bill James Projections - Ryan Dempster

Ryan Dempster during 2013 Spring Training
 Source
2011: 10-14, 34 starts, 202.1 IP, 4.80 ERA, 82 BB, 191 SO
2012 projection: 11-12, 32 starts, 203 IP, 3.95 ERA, 80 BB, 185 SO2012: 12-8, 28 starts, 173 IP, 3.38 ERA, 52 BB, 153 SO2013 projection: 11-10, 31 starts, 190 IP, 3.74 ERA, 66 BB, 172 SO
2013: 8-9, 29 starts, 171.1 IP, 4.57 ERA, 79 BB, 157 SO
2014 projection: 9-10, 29 starts, 168 IP, 4.02 ERA, 68 BB, 152 SO

Even though Ryan Dempster didn't live up to his 2013 projections, he deserves credit for one very important part of the 2013 World Championship run: he was one of the few Red Sox to come in to Spring Training with his facial hair already established.

All joking aside, Dempster was solid for the Red Sox in 2013. Sure, he had his share of early hooks, but he took the ball every five days, and tossed 171 innings, no small feat for a thirty-six-year-old who underwent Tommy John surgery over a decade ago.

Bill James and his team project some modest gains for Dempster in 2014, and his BB/SO rate has always been pretty fantastic. As a fourth or fifth starter, Dempster should more than satisfactory.

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